Scientists have confirmed that the summer of 2024 has broken global heat records for the second consecutive year, positioning it to potentially become the hottest year ever documented. According to data released by Copernicus, Europe's climate monitoring service, the months of June through August—encompassing the Northern Hemisphere's summer—marked the warmest such period in recorded history, dating back to 1940.
The summer's average temperature was 0.69 degrees Celsius higher than the 1991 to 2020 average, surpassing the previous record set in the summer of 2023 by a mere 0.03 degrees. This milestone is part of a broader pattern of escalating global temperatures, a trend that scientists warn is unlikely to abate as long as humanity continues to emit greenhouse gases through the burning of fossil fuels.
The consequences of this warming trend have been both far-reaching and severe. Numerous countries have grappled with extreme summer temperatures, leading to fatal heatwaves, unprecedented wildfires, and destructive storms. Even during the Southern Hemisphere's winter, temperatures have been unusually high. For instance, Australia recorded its hottest August day ever at 41.6 degrees Celsius (106.9 Fahrenheit), while parts of Antarctica saw temperatures rise 50 degrees Fahrenheit above the norm in July.
The data from Copernicus corroborates earlier indications that the planet experienced its warmest June on record, followed by its hottest single days in July. The summer concluded with the joint-hottest August on record. With an average temperature of 16.82 degrees Celsius (62.28 Fahrenheit), it was 1.51 degrees Celsius warmer than the average August temperature during the pre-industrial era, a time before the large-scale burning of fossil fuels began.
When considering the 12-month period from September 2023 to August 2024, Copernicus found it to be the hottest year-long period ever recorded, with temperatures 1.64 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels. Samantha Burgess, Copernicus' deputy director, stated in a press release that this succession of record temperatures increases the probability of 2024 being the warmest calendar year on record.
Global temperatures are influenced by a variety of factors, including natural climate phenomena such as El Niño, which originates in the tropical Pacific Ocean and contributes to global warming, as well as human activities, primarily the burning of fossil fuels, which is the principal cause of the climate crisis. Although El Niño ended in June, its effects are not immediately dissipated.
Richard Allan, a climate science professor at the University of Reading, explained that the record global warmth observed this summer was anticipated, given the residual heat from the waning El Niño event combined with the ongoing impact of greenhouse gas emissions from human activities. He described the fact that the past 12 months have exceeded 1.5 degrees Celsius above pre-industrial levels as "extremely alarming," attributing it to the sluggish response of governments in reducing emissions that contribute to global warming.
Scientists have consistently warned that to prevent the most catastrophic effects of climate change, it is imperative to limit global warming to 1.5 degrees above pre-industrial levels. While the focus is on long-term breaches over decades, the recurring temporary breaches are a concerning sign of the direction in which the world is headed and the implications for human life.
Burgess from Copernicus warned of even more severe consequences to come, stating that "the temperature-related extreme events witnessed this summer will only intensify, bringing more devastating impacts for people and the planet, unless we take urgent steps to reduce greenhouse gas emissions."
As the world continues to grapple with the effects of climate change, it is clear that immediate and decisive action is required to mitigate the damage and protect the future of our planet. The record-breaking temperatures of 2024 serve as a stark reminder of the urgency of this global challenge.
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