The alliance of the world's leading oil exporters, known collectively as OPEC+, announced on Thursday its decision to prolong the reduction in oil production. This move comes in response to the ongoing decline in the prices of crude oil and fuel.
According to a statement released by OPEC+, the member countries have agreed to continue their current oil production cuts of 2.2 million barrels per day, extending this measure through November. Furthermore, they have outlined plans to gradually eliminate these voluntary reductions starting in December, with a view to completing this phase-out by November 2025.
This extension is not the coalition's first attempt to shore up crude oil prices through output cuts. Back in June, OPEC+ decided to extend the 2.2 million barrels per day reduction until the end of September. In the same month, they also extended a reduction of 1.65 million barrels per day, which was initially announced in April 2023, with the aim of maintaining it until the end of 2025.
Despite these efforts, oil prices experienced a brief surge but ultimately settled at slightly lower levels on Thursday. The US benchmark, West Texas Intermediate crude futures, closed at $69.15 per barrel, while the international benchmark, Brent crude futures, closed at $72.69 per barrel.
The downward trend in oil prices this year has been notable, even amidst continuous output cuts and the backdrop of geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Concerns regarding a potential decrease in demand from China, the largest oil importer globally, have been a significant factor in capping price increases. Additionally, record oil production levels from the United States have contributed to this trend. On Wednesday, US oil prices fell below the $70 per barrel mark for the first time since December 12, 2023.
OPEC+ has been implementing output restrictions for approximately two years with the goal of preventing an oversupply that could negatively impact prices and, by extension, the oil-reliant economies of its member nations.
In June, the International Energy Agency (IEA) warned that an excess of oil supply could diminish OPEC+'s influence on oil prices. The IEA's medium-term oil market report forecasted a potential surplus of global oil supply that could exceed demand by as much as 8 million barrels per day by 2023.
However, in July, the IEA revised its expectations, predicting that global oil demand would grow by 970,000 barrels per day in 2024. This is a slight increase from the previous month's forecast of 960,000 barrels per day. In May, the IEA had initially projected a demand growth of 1.1 million barrels per day.
The ongoing situation highlights the delicate balance that OPEC+ must maintain as it navigates the complexities of the global oil market. The coalition's decisions to extend production cuts reflect its commitment to stabilizing prices and supporting the economic interests of its member countries.
As the world continues to grapple with economic uncertainties and shifting energy dynamics, the strategies employed by OPEC+ will undoubtedly have far-reaching implications for the oil industry and the global economy as a whole.
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